SCIO briefing on 2017 government work report

New York Times:

Many economists are concerned about fast-rising Chinese debt, while the growth speed of credit loans has outpaced that of GDP. Is the Chinese government going to take some measures to control the growth of credit loans? And which kind of loans in particular? It may be the easiest to control the loans to medium and small enterprises, but they best represent entrepreneurship and vitality. Thank you.

Huang Shouhong:

Debt in China has received much attention. We should consider this issue in a comprehensive, scientific and adequate way. The debt ratio of the Chinese government is not high - 40 percent in the last two years. It has now been reduced to 37 percent, of which central government debt makes up 16 percent. The debt ratio of the Chinese government is the lowest among world major economies.

The debt ratio of Chinese residents is not high, either. The Chinese people have a long tradition of deposit to make ends meet.

As for the financial institutions, the overall debt ratio is not very high set against the international level. Moreover, the debt ratio of financial institutions has been stabilizing in recent two years. It began to move in a good direction from last year. For example, at the end of last year, the non-performing loans of Chinese commercial banks was 1.74 percent, 0.02 percentage points lower than the previous quarter, which was also the first decline since 2012. In other words, the risk of non-performing loans is decreasing.

As for non-financial sectors, the leverage ratio is relatively high in State-owned enterprises. However, with our efforts, the debt-to-assets ratio of industrial enterprises began moving downwards last year, however, the fall was not so obvious - less than one percentage point.

Huang Shouhong:

At present, Chinese financial sectors have two major tasks: one is to provide more support to the real economy, especially the development of medium-small-micro enterprises. Premier Li Keqiang put forward several practical measures in the government work report. For example, large and medium-sized commercial banks will be encouraged to establish departments for financial inclusion. The government will roll out stimulatory policies and specific measures in this regard so as to provide better services and financial support for medium-small-micro enterprises. The other task is to guard against financial risk. The government work report pointed out that we have a slew of methods to prevent systemic financial risks. Despite some increase, the ratio of non-performing loans has been stabilizing. The financial sectors have a strong capability to cope with risk. The provision coverage ratio was as high as 176.4% last year. and the required reserve ratios are 17 to 18 percent, a level rarely seen in the world. Therefore, we have a plenty of tools to guard against risk. The main tasks now are to enhance supports for medium and small enterprises and improve risk prevention and control mechanism, which has always been on our agenda.

We have been strengthening our support for medium and small businesses. Last year, loans to small and micro enterprises, including self-employed people, rose by 13.8 percent. However, there were still complaints about loan approval and high interest rates. One of the reasons is the increasing number of new enterprises. There are five to six million new businesses each year. They have to compete for loans with established enterprises. In these circumstances, enterprises face much pressure of obtaining loans in spite of hard work of financial institutions. To address this problem, the premier put forward many requirements and measures in the government work report. In summary, China will guard against risk while focusing on supporting the transformation and upgrading of the real economy, the development of small and micro enterprises in particular, giving full play to those enterprises in boosting employment and start-ups.