Off the wire
Urgent: Chinese president starts Uzbekistan visit in historic city Bukhara  • Nepali therapist sets world record for performing non-stop Yoga for over 50 hours  • Major news items in leading German newspapers  • Chinese mainland, Taiwan jointly compile first modern history book  • News Analysis: Insecurity amid hard times could unravel South Sudan peace pact  • Over 900 Nestle workers in Turkey on strike over wage dispute  • China Focus: 10 years on, plateau railway paves path to prosperity  • 1st Ld Writethru: Drone strike kills Taliban key commander, 4 others in Afghan northern Kunduz province  • Spotlight: In visit to Poland, Xi links Silk Road with Amber Road  • More efforts needed to monitor radionuclides in Pacific marine animals: U.S. expert  
You are here:   Home

German investors'confidence improves despite Brexit risks

Xinhua, June 21, 2016 Adjust font size:

German investors remained confident about German economic prospect despite risks that Britain might choose to leave the European Union in a referendum this week, a survey found on Tuesday.

Mannheim-based ZEW institute said its monthly economic sentiment index for Germany improved by 12.8 points and reached 19.2 points in June, showing that investors and market analysts were more confident than in the previous month about German economic outlook in six months ahead.

"The improvement of economic sentiment indicates that the financial market experts have confidence in the resilience of the German economy," said ZEW President Achim Wambach in a statement.

"However, general economic conditions remain challenging," he added, "Apart from the weak global economic dynamics, it is mainly the EU referendum in Britain which causes uncertainty."

German economists and business groups have warned that a Brexit would hurt both British and European economies.

In a separate survey on Tuesday, ZEW found that most investors and market analysts expected Britain to remain in the European Single Market even if the country votes to leave on Thursday. However, uncertainty about the country's relations with the EU would remain in place.

"The UK would face years of fundamental uncertainty regarding its future in Europe if the referendum result is for leave," said Friedrich Heinemann, head of the ZEW "Public Finance" Research Department.

According to the survey, investors and analysts expect that in case of a Brexit, the probability of a recession in Britain in the coming 12 months would increase by 44.9 percentage points, while the danger of a recession in Germany and the euro zone would only grow marginally. Endit