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Hong Kong's population likely to peak at 8.22 mln in 2043

Xinhua, September 25, 2015 Adjust font size:

Hong Kong's population is projected to reach a peak of 8.22 million in 2043 and then decline to 7.81 million by 2064, according to an updated set of population projections released by the Census and Statistics Department on Friday.

In the updated set of projections, the projection period is extended from 30 years to 50 years to better discern the trends and profile of the future population.

"Making reference to the practice of other advanced economies, apart from the baseline population projections, two additional projection scenarios, namely high and low population projections, have been compiled for reference," said the Commissioner for Census and Statistics Leslie Tang.

Under the baseline population projections, the Hong Kong's population is projected to increase from 7.24 million in mid-2014 to a peak of 8.22 million in mid-2043, and then decline to 7.81 million by mid-2064.

Over the entire period from mid-2014 to mid-2064, the overall population is projected to increase by 0.57 million. There would be a natural decrease of 1.27 million and a net movement of 1.84 million.

Hong Kong experienced a continuous decline in mortality rate from 1994 to 2014, leading to an increase in life expectancy. In 2014, the expectation of life at birth was 81.2 years for males and 86.9 years for females.

In 2064, the expectation of life at birth is projected to increase to 87.0 years for males and 92.5 years for females, Tang said. Endi