China's ecological modernization is expected to reach the
world's middle level around 2050, according to a recent report by
China's top scientific institutions.
China's Ecological Modernization Report 2007, published
by the China Academy of Sciences on January 27, found the starting
phase of the world ecological modernization coincided with China's
period of reform, during which China's industrialization and
urbanization embarked upon a fast track and China's modernization
drive scored remarkable progress.
In the next five decades, the report says, China's ecological
modernization can make breakthroughs in three areas: ecological
economy, ecological society and ecological awareness. Taking
"dematerialization, greening, ecologization and decoupling"
(decoupling economic growth from environmental degradation) as the
main thrusts, the country's ecological modernization will strive to
complete the ecological transformation of the trends in
modernization and to realize a strategic change in environmental
management from the policies emphasizing emergency response to
policies emphasizing prevention and innovation.
The report suggests that in the first half of the 21st century,
the following 10 measures should be taken to promote China's
ecological modernization:
1. A road map for China's ecological modernization and
its national and regional ecological modernization should be
formulated and implemented.
A road map for China's ecological modernization represents a
collection of the strategic goals and canal path of China's
ecological modernization. Its main contents can be divided into
eight parts: the canal path, the strategic goals, the basic tasks,
the monitoring indicators, the monitoring of ecological progress,
the monitoring of ecological economy, the monitoring of ecological
society, and the strategic measures for China's ecological
modernization.
First, the canal path for China's ecological modernization: In
accordance with the principle of integrated ecological
modernization, efforts should be made to coordinate and push
forward ecological modernization, integrated modernization, green
industrialization, green urbanization; modernization should be
knowledge-based, light-weight, greening, and ecologically
sensitive. It should realize an absolute decoupling of
economic development from environmental degradation and should seek
a win-win result for both the economy and the environment; China
should try to match the level of ecological modernization in
developed countries. China's goal is for ecological modernization
to reach the world's middle level in 2050 and the world's advanced
level at the end of the 21st century respectively.
Next, the strategic goals of China's ecological modernization:
China's ecological modernization will reach the world's middle
level in the first half of the 21st century, its economic growth
will be absolutely decoupled from environmental degradation,
ecological modernization will be largely realized, and its level of
ecological modernization will be among the top 40 countries in the
world. In the second half of the 21st century, a virtuous coupling
between economic and the environmental progress will be realized,
ecological modernization will reach the world's advanced level,
comprehensive ecological modernization will be realized, and the
level of ecological modernization will rank among the top 20
countries in the world.
Third, the basic tasks of China's ecological modernization: the
country has to accomplish three basic tasks in the 21st century.
One, China's ecological modernization will go up three steps
internationally. The international level of China's ecological
modernization will move from the low level to the preliminary level
around 2020, rise to the world's middle level by 2050 and reach the
world's advanced level by 2100. Two, the historical process of
China's ecological modernization will move through three phases.
The historical process of China's ecological modernization will be
in the starting phase in 2000, enter the developing phase around
2030, reach the mature phase around 2050, and reach the stable
phase around 2080. Three, the international status of China's
ecological modernization will advance by about 80 rankings. China's
ecological modernization index will be about 40 rankings higher in
the first half of the 21st century and another 40 rankings higher
in the ensuing five decades.
Fourth, the monitoring indicators of China's ecological
modernization: 36 monitoring indicators for ecological progress,
ecological economy and ecological society; 36 monitoring indicators
respectively for China's social modernization and for its economic
modernization. In all, 108 monitoring indicators will be used to
measure China's modernization drive.
Fifth, the monitoring of ecological progress in China's
ecological modernization: 12 indicators including environmental
quality and land quality, and the general goals, staged goals (2010
– 2020 – 2030 – 2040 – 2050) and tasks for the first half of the
21st century.
Sixth, the monitoring of ecological economy in China's
ecological modernization: 12 indicators including ecological
efficiency and ecological structure, and the general goals, staged
goals (2010 – 2020 – 2030 – 2040 – 2050) and tasks for the first
half of the 21st century.
Seventh, the monitoring of ecological society in China's
ecological modernization: 12 indicators including green homeland
and green living, and the general goals, staged goals (2010 – 2020
– 2030 – 2040 – 2050) and the tasks for the first half of the 21st
century.
Eighth, the strategic measures for China's ecological
modernization: three breakthroughs, namely ecological economy,
ecological society and ecological awareness; three distributions,
namely sectional distribution, geographic distribution and
technological distribution; three securities, namely resource
security, energy security and environmental security.
The next two decades (2020~2030) will be an extremely crucial
period for China's ecological modernization. During this period,
China will gradually complete industrialization and urbanization,
its population size will reach the maximum value, and its resource
demand and environmental pressure will likely reach the maximum
values. The report suggests that an expert group should be set up
to consider national and regional strategies for ecological
modernization in the next two decades.
2. A green development road should be adopted to control
and reduce new environmental pollution.
The principles of the green development road are: high
efficiency, low waste, high quality, low density, high standard,
low emission, no toxicity, no hazard, cleanliness, health, mutually
beneficial coupling between green industrialization, green
urbanization and environmental protection, and a win-win result for
both development and environmental protection.
First it's necessary to explain the road of green
industrialization. China's Modernization Report (CMR) 2005
specified the features of new industrialization. Simply put, new
industrialization means information, knowledge, greening and
ecological corrections to the traditional industrialization and
also means a systematic integration of industrialization,
information-based industry, knowledge-based industry,
environment-based industry, ecology-based industry and
globalization. By implementing the new industrialization strategies
and by taking the green industrialization road, the environmental
pressure from newly-built industries will be reduced. Green
industrialization has 10 specific requirements and measures.
Next are the goals of the road of green urbanization. The CMR
2006 put forward the new strategies for urbanization and suggested
that urbanization, suburbanization, having an information-based
city, a knowledge-based city, an environment-based city, an
ecology-based city and internationalization develop in a
coordinated way so as to build a green homeland that highlights an
urban-rural equilibrium. By implementing the new urbanization
strategies and by taking the green urbanization road, the new urban
pollution will be reduced and controlled. Green urbanization has 10
specific requirements and measures.
Third, other environmental projects should be executed
simultaneously, such as the green homeland project and the green
consumption project.
3. The programs to control pollution and transform
traditional industries should be continued so as to eliminate the
environmental pollution left over from the past.
The programs to control environmental pollution in an integrated
way in key regions and key industries should continue. First, in
the regions and river valleys where traditional industries and
polluting industries are concentrated, the pollution-control
projects should be executed to eliminate the environmental
pollution left over from the past and to control and reduce new
pollution. Next, the traditional industries and especially the
resource-intensive, energy-intensive and pollution-intensive
traditional industries should have their industrial processes
transformed for environmental soundness so as to control and reduce
industrial pollution. Third, the total-amount pollution control
regime and the emission permit institution should continue to be
observed. Fourth, records and rankings should be established for
the enterprises emitting toxic materials and pollutants, and should
be published on a regular basis.
4. The ecological improvement projects such as the one
for natural forest conservation should continue and the national
ecosystem evaluations should be held on a regular
basis.
The projects designed to protect natural forests, to facilitate
forestation and to build planted forests should continue so as to
increase forest coverage to about 35 percent in 2050 and about 40
percent in 2100. Construction of nature reserves should be sped up,
the project to "revert cultivated land back to forestation" should
be improved, and the natural grassland and pastures should be
protected and improved. The goals and tasks specified in the
"National Plan for Ecological Environment Construction" should be
implemented in a comprehensive way.
5. Active efforts should be made to promote the
construction of ecological cities, ecological urban areas,
ecological parks and ecological rural areas.
The construction of ecological cities has six priorities. First,
planning should be done for ecological cities and ecological urban
areas. Second, the ecological reconstruction of old urban areas
should be encouraged and new ecological cities should be built.
Third, the waste and wastewater treatment capacities of the cities
should be expanded and the environment of the cities should be
improved. Fourth, urban landscaping should be expanded and clean
energy and green transportation should be developed. Fifth, urban
residents should be encouraged to choose a green and ecologically
sound way of life. Sixth, the cities should be encouraged to adopt
the environmental standards such as those for a model environment,
model habitation, and environmentally beautiful town and
township.
The construction of ecological rural areas covers six aspects.
First, the Plan of Action for Ecological Homeland and Enriching the
People should continue to be executed, clean energies should be
developed and rural sanitation projects should be promoted. Second,
the Project to Improve Rural Water Supply and Toilets should
continue to be executed so as to increase the coverage of safe
drinking water and health facilities in the rural areas. Third, the
Project of "Reverting Cultivated Land Back to Forestation" and the
construction of nature reserves should continue to be improved so
as to enhance the ecological quality of the rural areas. Fourth,
the structures of rural energy and transportation should be
improved to enhance the quality of the rural life. Fifth,
ecological agriculture, organic agriculture and pasture agriculture
should be developed to increase the income of the peasants. Sixth,
the process of urbanization should be expedited to reduce the
density of the rural population and the pressure on the rural
environment.
6. Three ecological industries should be developed:
ecological agriculture, environmental industry and recycle
economy-based industry.
The ecological agriculture can be divided into four layers.
First, the peasants, farms, pastures and agricultural enterprises
should be encouraged to develop ecological agriculture, organic
agriculture, natural agriculture, or pasture agriculture. Second,
the development of specialized ecological agricultural zones or
ecological agricultural towns and townships should be encouraged.
Third, the organic food and green food industries should be
developed. Fourth, the development of ecological agricultural
counties should be encouraged.
The environmental industry can be divided into four aspects.
First, the utilization of waste resources and the development of
renewable energies should be encouraged. Second, the development of
environmental technologies and the technical and commercial
services for environmental protection should be encouraged. Third,
the development of the enterprises that produce and provide
environmental products and services should be promoted. Fourth, the
development of environmental parks should be encouraged. All
environmental industries should raise their own resource
utilization efficiency and reduce their energy and material
consumption and waste emission.
The development of the recycle economy-based industry can be
divided into four aspects. First, the enterprises should be
encouraged to increase waste re-utilization, reproduction and
recycling. Second, the development of the waste collection and
service industries should be encouraged and the construction of the
outlets engaged in sorted waste recycling and waste recycling
should be encouraged. Third, the development of the enterprises
that utilize wastes in an integrated way should be encouraged.
Fourth, the development of recycle economic parks and ecological
industrial parks should be encouraged.
7. Three ecological institutions should be established:
the institution of ecological compensation, the environmental
responsibility institution for key posts, and the environmental
risk evaluation system for key projects.
The functional service zones of China's eco-systems should be
divided in accordance with the principles of ecology and the
features of China's eco-systems. A National Law on Regional
Development should be considered and enacted so that regional
development can have legal foundations. The construction of
national nature reserves should be strengthened and the ratio of
nature reserves should be raised. The central, provincial and
municipal finances should establish ecological compensation funds
at three levels, and scientific and rational ecological
compensation mechanisms should be worked out to ensure that the
local residents in the reserves at various levels can reach the
average living standards of the country or their provinces and
cities and that their living standards can be raised largely in
step with the average levels of the country or their provinces and
cities. At the same time, the dependence mentality should be
prevented.
Protecting the environment is a responsibility for all people.
Different posts involve different responsibilities. The report
suggests the Environmental Protection Law be amended and an
environmental responsibility institution be established for key
posts. A letter of environmental responsibility should be signed by
those who are appointed to key posts and a letter of environmental
audit should also be signed by those who leave key posts. The
environmental responsibilities for key posts should be valid for 20
years.
An environmental risk rating system for key projects should be
established, which will have the following basic contents. First,
the key projects (including fairly large projects) having fairly
large environmental risks should be identified through
environmental impact evaluation. Second, environmental risk
evaluations should be conducted for key projects on a regular
basis, with the evaluation cycle being 5~10 years long (an
evaluation for every five years for the extremely key projects).
Third, the environmental responsibility institution for key posts
should be introduced for the key posts of key projects.
8. Three ecological projects should be executed: the
green homeland project, the green service project and the green
consumption project.
In the existing urban areas and the densely-populated towns and
townships, the green homeland project should be introduced to
popularize the safe drinking-water and sanitary facilities, raise
the ratio of domestic wastewater and waste treatment, increase the
per capita landscaping area and raise the ratio of clean energies
so that safe drinking-water and sanitary facilities can reach all
people, that wastewater and wastes can all be treated, that the air
quality can reach the national grade-1 standard and that the
habitation environment can be completely improved.
The green service project should be introduced to encourage the
development of the modern green service industry and make the
economy dematerialization, greener and more ecologization. The
project has the following basic contents. First, the development of
the green service industry should be accelerated. Second, the
energy and resource consumption of the service industry should be
reduced. Third, the labor and resource productivity of the service
industry should be enhanced. Fourth, the quality of the working
environment of the service industry should be improved and
enhanced. Fifth, the emission of wastes and toxic and hazardous
materials of the service industry should be controlled and reduced.
Sixth, the recycled use of wastes of the service industry should be
promoted.
The green consumption project should be introduced to encourage
the enterprises to develop and produce green products (such as
organic foodstuffs) and provide green services, and to encourage
the residents with financial capacity and environmental awareness
to purchase and consume green products and green services. This
constitutes the groundwork for expanding the green market. The key
element of the green consumption project is honesty. Only when the
green producers guarantee the quality of their green products and
only when the government and the market establish mechanisms for
preventing fake green products, will the green consumers be willing
to pay the "green expenses" for their green consumption.
9. Three ecological strategies should be introduced: the
national strategy for resource security, the national strategy for
energy security and the national strategy for environmental
security.
The national strategy for resource security should include the
regular evaluation of the natural resources in the world, the
regular evaluation of the natural resources in China, the important
ratings of the natural resources in China, the protection and
national reserve of strategic resources, the strategy for
international resource cooperation, and the strategy for strategic
resource security. The import tariffs on key natural resources and
primary products should be lowered, with the average tariff being
reduced to 1 percent from the 10 percent in 2004. The structure of
foreign reserves should be adjusted and a certain ratio of foreign
money reserves should be turned from "currency reserve" to
"strategic resource reserve". Besides, a progressive tax
institution should be introduced for key resource consumption and
possession so as to contain resource waste.
The national strategy for energy security should include the
regular evaluation of the world energy reserves and energy markets,
the regular evaluation of China's energy resources and energy
markets, the national strategic energy reserve project, the
national energy supply balancing regime, the contingency plan for
energy crisis, the program for renewable energies and new energies,
the guide for clean energies and energy technologies, and the
strategy for international energy cooperation.
The national strategy for environmental security should include
the regular evaluation of the world environmental status and
development trends, the regular evaluation of the environmental
status and development trends in China's neighboring countries, the
regular evaluation of international environmental trade, the
regular evaluation of China's environmental status and ecosystems,
the regular evaluation of the environmental quality of China's key
regions and key industries, the strategy for China's environmental
security, the strategy for China's international environmental
cooperation, the early warning and relief plan for natural
disasters, the contingency plan for international and domestic
environmental crises, and the plan of action for major environment
improvements.
10. Three government organizations should be
established: the national ministry of environment, the national
ministry of energy and the national agency for regional
development.
Environmental security has become increasingly important. As
environmental issues involve many aspects, as environmental
pollution has major social impacts and as the government has a huge
responsibility for environmental management, A national ministry of
environment be established to exercise unified leadership over the
country's work in climate, air environment, water environment,
forest and biological environment, industrial environment and human
habitation environment and to formulate and implement the national
strategy for environmental security.
The CMR 2005 suggested the establishment of a national ministry
of energy from the perspective of economic modernization. From the
perspectives of ecological modernization and the strategy for
energy security, a national ministry of energy should be
established to organize the formulation and implementation of the
national strategies for energy security.
The CMR 2004 suggested the establishment of a national agency
for regional development from the perspective of regional
modernization. From the perspective of ecological modernization, a
national agency for regional development should be established to
guide and coordinate regional ecological modernization.
If all the above tasks are fully accomplished, China's
ecological modernization will reach the world's middle level in
2050. While China's economic development will be completely
decoupled from environmental degradation, the quality of the human
habitation environment will be as good as that in the leading
developed countries, the safe drinking-water and sanitary
facilities will reach all people, the urban domestic wastewater and
wastes will all be treated, the industrial wastewater and wastes
will largely be treated, the productivity of resources and
materials will be 10-fold to 30-fold higher than present, the
density of industrial and economic wastes will be about 90 percent
lower, and the density of industrial and economic energies will be
about 80 percent lower. By then, 60 percent of the country's
population will have green homelands with beautiful environment, 60
percent of its cities will have air of which quality meets the
national grade-1 standard, and the ecological efficiency and
service functions of the typical ecosystems will be completely
restored. Meanwhile, about one-third of the national territory will
be covered by forests (about 35 percent), one-third of the
territory will be used for agricultural purpose (about 36 percent),
and the remaining one-third will be used for construction and
natural landscaping. In particular, land for construction purpose
will account for about 9 percent of the national territory and land
for natural landscaping will account for 20 percent.
If the above goals are achieved in 2050, China will reach the
level of the developed countries by the end of the 21st century and
the probability of comprehensive ecological modernization will
reach 30 percent. If comprehensive ecological modernization is
realized, China's natural environment and the people's livelihood
will have undergone earth-shaking changes. By then, China's skies
will be blue, China's water will be clear, China's mountains will
be green, and China's people will be healthy. China will become one
of the most charming countries in the world.
Overview of Ecological Modernization Report
2007
Appendix: Table of Contents of the Ecological
Modernization 2007
Overview
Part One Ecological Modernization
Chapter I Objective Facts of World Ecological
Modernization
1. Methods for Analyzing Ecological Modernization
(1) Objects of Ecological Modernization Studies
(2) Multi-Dimensional Analysis of Ecological
Modernization
(3) Coordinates Analysis of Ecological Modernization
2. Time-Series Analysis of Ecological Modernization
(1) Historical Analysis of Relationship between Mankind and
Nature
(2) Time-Series Analysis of Ecological Efficiency and
Structure
(3) Time-Series Analysis of Ecological Institution and
Concept
3. Section Analysis of Ecological Modernization
(1) 2001 Section of Ecological Modernization
(2) Seven Sections of Ecological Efficiency and
Structure
(3) Eight Sections of Ecological Institution and Concept
4. Case Studies of Ecological Modernization
(1) International Cases of Ecological Modernization
(2) Path Dependence of Ecological Modernization
(3) Relevant Evaluations of Ecological Modernization
Chapter II Theoretical Studies of World Ecological
Modernization
1. Theoretical Background of Ecological Modernization
(1) Natural Sciences and Ecological Modernization
(2) Social Sciences and Ecological Modernization
(3) Multi-Disciplinary Studies and Ecological
Modernization
2. Ecological Modernization Studies in Europe
(1) Brief History of Ecological Modernization Studies
(2) European Ecological Modernization Theories
(3) Challenges to Ecological Modernization Theories
3. General Ecological Modernization Theories
(1) Time Background of General Ecological Modernization
(2) Basic Principles of General Ecological Modernization
(3) Methods for Studying General Ecological
Modernization
4. Basic Approaches to Ecological Modernization
(1) General Path for Comprehensive Ecological
Modernization
(2) General Path for Integrated Ecological Modernization
(3) Ecological Corrections to First Modernization
Chapter III Analysis of China's Ecological Modernization
Strategies
1. International Background of China's Ecological
Modernization
(1) Historical Experience of World Ecological
Modernization
(2) Current Level of World Ecological Modernization
(3) Prospect of World Ecological Modernization
2. Basic Conditions for China's Ecological Modernization
(1) Historical Review of China's Ecological
Modernization
(2) International Comparison of China's Ecological
Modernization
(3) Situation Analysis of China's Ecological
Modernization
3. Strategic Options for China's Ecological
Modernization
(1) Strategic Goal of China's Ecological Modernization
(2) Canal Path for China's Ecological Modernization
(3) Road Map for China's Ecological Modernization
4. Strategic Priorities of China's Ecological
Modernization
(1) Three Breakthroughs of China's Ecological
Modernization
(2) Three Distributions of China's Ecological
Modernization
(3) Three Securities of China's Ecological Modernization
Part Two Evaluations of Modernization in the World and
China
Chapter IV Three Decades of Ecological
Modernization
1. 34 Years of World Ecological Modernization
(1) World Ecological Modernization Index in 2004
(2) World Ecological Modernization Process 1970~2004
2. 34 Years of China's Ecological Modernization
(1) China's Ecological Modernization Index in 2004
(2) China's Ecological Modernization Process 1970~2004
3. China's Regional Ecological Modernization Process
(1) China's Regional Ecological Modernization Index 2004
(2) China's Regional Ecological Modernization Index 2000
Chapter V World and China Modernization Indexes in
2004
1. World Modernization Index 2004
(1) World Modernization Index 2004
(2) Evaluation of World Modernization Levels in 2004
2. China's Modernization Index in 2004
(1) China's Modernization Index 2004~2005
(2) Evaluation of China's Modernization Levels 2004~2005
3. China's Regional Modernization Index in 2004
(1) China's Regional Modernization Index 2004~2005
(2) Evaluation of China's Regional Modernization Levels
2004~2005
(China Development Gateway February 3, 2007)
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