China doesn't have to worry about an overheated economy, said Nobel
Prize Laureate Robert Mundell in Zhuhai Thursday.
Mundell was in Zhuhai to attend the World Economic Development
Declaration Conference (WEDDC) and was one of the drafters of the
declaration.
China has seen a rapid growth of forex reserve this year leading to
an increasing money supply, with which the economy is labeled
overheated, but this is not a problem China has to worry about, he
told the press at WEDDC, an economic forum running from Thursday to
Friday at a coastal resort in south China's Guangdong Province.
The very slight inflation this year will counteract the deflation
China had last year and the currency expansion will lead to a
growth of import to balance China's export surplus, he said. This
will adjust Chinese economy to a favorable status, he added.
According to the People's Bank of China (PBOC), the broad money
supply (M2) increased 20.7 percent on a year-on-year basis in China
by September this year while the narrow money supply (M1) up 18.5
percent.
The fast growing forex reserve is pushed strongly by commercial
banks rather than overheated economy, Mundell said.
Those banks pour a huge amount of capital into China, predicting
that the country will appreciate its currency and, intend to cash
in, he added.
The PBOC said China's forex reserve added by US$97.5 billion in the
first nine months this year, US$51 billion more than that of last
year.
By
September, China's forex reserve totaled US$383 billion.
(Xinhua News Agency November 7, 2003)
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