Growth in China's gross domestic product (GDP) is predicted to
surge to a year-on-year 8 percent in 2002, bolstered mainly by a
vigorous private investment binge and robust household consumption
in cars and housing.
The Economic Forecast Department of the State Information Centre
(SIC) said yesterday that GDP is set to reach 10.217 trillion yuan
(US$1.235 trillion) this year.
The SIC added that per capita GDP in China should reach US$961 this
year, an increase of US$50 over last year.
But what has cheered Chinese the most is not the strong economy,
which has been steaming ahead for a few years now. Rather, experts
and officials are delighted by the fact that the growth has been
mostly because of a rapid expansion in private capital, a new
economic engine to be reckoned with.
"A
new phase is dawning. The economy is now powered concurrently by
governmental policy and market vitality," said Qiu Xiaohua, deputy
director of the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).
Qiu added this is an improvement compared to growth in past years,
which is mainly a result of the State's massive investment stimulus
plans using treasury bonds and other methods.
Official data from the NBS indicates that private investment rose
at an 18 percent clip in the first 10 months of this year, doubling
the pace of the same period last year.
And the total sum of private funds is rapidly closing the gap with
that of State investment.
Robust growth in the nation's consumption is also expected to buoy
China's economy. Leading the wave are purchasing crazes in
telecommunications, automobiles and housing products.
Auto sales in the past 10 months chalked up a sharp increase of 50
percent year-on-year. Sales of household electronic appliances like
mobile phones, PCs, TV sets and DVD players posted a 62 percent
rise in the first three quarters.
Moreover, some economists say China's accession to the World Trade
Organization (WTO) late last year also gave the economy a strong
boost.
Zhang Liqun, an economist from the State Council Development
Research Centre, predicted that starting from this year, China will
jump onto a platform where 8 percent annual GDP growth is within
reach.
(China Daily December 9, 2002)
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