China May Attain 8%, or Even Higher Growth This Year
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China may attain its targeted 8 percent economic growth, or even higher, this year, prominent Chinese economist Li Yining said told Xinhua on Tuesday.
The Chinese economy is also very likely to recover before other major economies, even though the world economy is still shrouded in uncertainty, said Li, a member of the 11th National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC), the nation's top political advisory body.
"The economic slowdown is beginning to bottom out, and the economy is bound to rebound on huge government investment," said Li,
According to a survey of factories issued Monday by the brokerage CLSA, China's manufacturing activity contracted for a seventh consecutive month in February, but at a slower rate than previous months.
"The growth may not be very high, but won't stay around six percent," Li said, "this year's growth could reach eight percent or even higher."
China's economic growth slowed to 6.8 percent in the fourth quarter of 2008, dragging down the annual rate to a seven-year low of 9 percent, as the unfolding global financial crisis takes a toll on the national economy.
Since last October, the government has announced several aggressive measures to bolster domestic demand and increase investment, including a 4 trillion yuan (US$585.5 billion) stimulus plan, a plan to expand rural consumption of home appliances and support plans for key industries.
Li, who has been a political advisor for more than 20 years, said the attainment of a 8-percent growth would be decided by two factors: a boost in domestic demand and changes in the global economy.
The 8-percent growth was entirely within reach if domestic investment and consumption could be spurred to support the growth, he said.